Not as Bad as it Feels
The July US payrolls report was the catalyst for a rash of recession fears, prompting the mini crash in risk assets and a...
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Jonathan Wilmot
Feb 294 min
What Could Possibly Go Wrong?
A quick update of World Wealth and the US Real Equity Return Cycle.
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Jonathan Wilmot
Feb 271 min
What a Difference an AI Makes
Nvidia latest earnings report had more market impact than all of last week's busy macro calendar put together...
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Jonathan Wilmot
May 29, 20230 min
The Missing Link
In Narrative Economics Robert Shiller documents how asset prices are often driven by stories: narratives that may be true, half true or....
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Jonathan Wilmot
Jan 31, 20230 min
Have We Got The Energy?
It's only a slight simplification to say that energy prices remain the swing variable in the outlook for global growth...
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Jonathan Wilmot
Oct 20, 20223 min
Perception Gaps
At the global equity market peak last year, financial assets were strongly outperforming the real economy, a state we refer to as bearish...
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Jonathan Wilmot
Sep 28, 20226 min
When the Fed Panics What Does the Market Do?
Panic is the short answer. Some thoughts on the longer answer below…..
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Jonathan Wilmot
Dec 7, 20210 min
Dreams, Memes and Nightmares
Even before Omicron surfaced there had been a deep and wide correction to most of the meme stocks, as well as the “transformation” stocks..
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