Jonathan WilmotMar 222 minStrategy & Economics PostsWhat is the Fed Saying? After Wednesday's FOMC meeting, the Fed signaled that they expect to make 3 rate cuts by the end of this year, and another 3 next year....
Jonathan WilmotApr 6, 20235 minStrategy & Economics PostsIn a State of LimboLimbo: in a state of uncertainty, up in the air, in abeyance, betwixt and between. (Collins Dictionary). Stuck between heaven and hell...
Jonathan WilmotNov 21, 20223 minStrategy & Economics PostsUnsettledThe Fed doesn’t care that much that inflation has probably peaked; the important question is "where will it settle”?
Jonathan WilmotNov 3, 20221 minStrategy & Economics Posts10 Charts on War, Inflation and Asset PricesWars are inflationary, period. That is one of the clearest lessons of history, as we document below.
Jonathan WilmotOct 13, 20221 minStrategy & Economics PostsThe Fed as Bean CounterThe Fed now has an explicit dual mandate (low inflation and full employment). What if we assumed that de facto it has always had a dual...
Alex HaseldineAug 10, 20222 minStrategy & Economics PostsTaking the Lead on InflationToday’s CPI report in the US surprised on the downside, a welcome change from the dismal run of higher than expected inflation readings...