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A Window Open in July?
US data on growth and inflation is not following the rate cut script...

Jonathan Wilmot
Apr 11, 20242 min read


What is the Fed Saying?
After Wednesday's FOMC meeting, the Fed signaled that they expect to make 3 rate cuts by the end of this year, and another 3 next year....

Jonathan Wilmot
Mar 22, 20242 min read


The Other Target
In August 2020, the Fed officially adopted the 'Average Inflation Target'. Here's an update on the Price Level Target...
Alex Haseldine
Mar 1, 20241 min read


Turning UP
Near-term prospects for global growth continue to improve

Jonathan Wilmot
Feb 22, 20232 min read


Unsettled
The Fed doesn’t care that much that inflation has probably peaked; the important question is "where will it settle”?

Jonathan Wilmot
Nov 21, 20223 min read


Bullard on Wars and Inflation
FOMC member James Bullard makes the connection between the current inflation and the effect of major wars.
Alex Haseldine
Nov 4, 20222 min read


Do We Really Need Another Volker Moment?
In this tightening cycle the Fed was late to start and has been playing catch up ever since. Now the market fear is that they will overdo...

Jonathan Wilmot
Jul 23, 20222 min read
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